COT reportThe CFTC Commitments of Traders report, explainedWhat the CFTC Commitments of Traders report is, when it is published, what the trader categories mean, and how analysts use speculator positioning in agricultural futures.Read Crop-weighted weatherCrop-weighted weather: why national averages misleadWhat crop-weighted weather is, why it beats national averages for commodity analysis, how it is built from ERA5 and ECMWF data, and how to read deviations from normal.Read Report calendarThe agricultural report calendar: what comes out whenWhen the reports that move agricultural commodity markets are published: USDA WASDE, Crop Progress, Export Sales, Grain Stocks and Acreage, the CFTC COT report, CONAB, UNICA and cocoa grindings.Read Prediction marketsCommodity prediction markets: how they work and why they helpWhat a commodity prediction market is, how outcome prices become probabilities, how it differs from futures and options, and how analysts can use one to test their views.Read
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