How the markets work
Each market asks one question with a fixed resolution date and source, for example the settlement of a futures contract or a number in an official report. Winning shares pay out 1 and losing shares 0, so the price of a share, between 0 and 1, reads as the market's probability: 0.63 means odds near 63%.
Orders go through a central limit order book, so you can post bids and offers at your price or trade against the best one available. When the market resolves, the balance is credited for every winning share.
Portfolio and scoreboard
Your portfolio shows open positions, average entry price and profit and loss as prices move. The scoreboard ranks participants by results, which turns a market view into a track record you can compare with your peers.
- Markets on commodity outcomes with a fixed resolution source
- Limit orders on a live order book
- Portfolio with P&L per position
- Public scoreboard
Why use a prediction market next to the data
Weather maps, news and positioning tell you what is happening. A market tells you what people expect to happen and how confident they are. Watching the odds move after a forecast update or a report is a fast way to see which information the market thinks matters.
Frequently asked questions
- Is real money involved in Kommody prediction markets?
- No. Markets are traded with a virtual balance. The goal is to test and compare market views, not to gamble.
- How are markets resolved?
- Each market names its resolution source and date up front, for example an exchange settlement price or a figure in a USDA report, and resolves on that value.